National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models like the GFS and ECMWF project Dallas highs reaching 85-87°F today under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for 84°F or higher. Recent 24-hour model runs have trended hotter amid a persistent heat dome over the Southwest, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and ongoing drought conditions that suppress cooling. Historical April normals hover around 76°F at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unanticipated cloudiness from a weak shortwave trough or frontal timing shifts, though low-probability per current ensembles; monitor afternoon NWS updates and airport observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
84°F或更高 96%
82-83°F 6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$278,518 交易量
$278,518 交易量
2026-04-01
66-67°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
6%
84°F或更高
96%
84°F或更高 96%
82-83°F 6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$278,518 交易量
$278,518 交易量
2026-04-01
66-67°F
$54,108 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$39,259 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$18,572 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$14,137 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$12,247 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$12,337 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$11,515 交易量
6%
84°F或更高
$19,845 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models like the GFS and ECMWF project Dallas highs reaching 85-87°F today under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for 84°F or higher. Recent 24-hour model runs have trended hotter amid a persistent heat dome over the Southwest, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and ongoing drought conditions that suppress cooling. Historical April normals hover around 76°F at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unanticipated cloudiness from a weak shortwave trough or frontal timing shifts, though low-probability per current ensembles; monitor afternoon NWS updates and airport observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$278,518结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models like the GFS and ECMWF project Dallas highs reaching 85-87°F today under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for 84°F or higher. Recent 24-hour model runs have trended hotter amid a persistent heat dome over the Southwest, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and ongoing drought conditions that suppress cooling. Historical April normals hover around 76°F at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unanticipated cloudiness from a weak shortwave trough or frontal timing shifts, though low-probability per current ensembles; monitor afternoon NWS updates and airport observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$278,518结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance and major forecast models like the GFS and ECMWF project Dallas highs reaching 85-87°F today under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for 84°F or higher. Recent 24-hour model runs have trended hotter amid a persistent heat dome over the Southwest, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures and ongoing drought conditions that suppress cooling. Historical April normals hover around 76°F at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unanticipated cloudiness from a weak shortwave trough or frontal timing shifts, though low-probability per current ensembles; monitor afternoon NWS updates and airport observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题