Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official daily observations confirming this peak amid mild, partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds around 5-10 mph. NOAA hourly METAR reports from KORD captured sustained readings in the low 60s during afternoon hours, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the Global Forecast System and local NWS guidance that projected above-normal warmth—well beyond the 52°F March climatological average—following an early-month warming trend. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor quality checks, though NWS verification processes render such shifts highly improbable. Final climate summaries expected soon will solidify resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F或以下 <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$192,355 交易量
$192,355 交易量
2026-03-29
53°F或以下
否
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F或以下 <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$192,355 交易量
$192,355 交易量
2026-03-29
53°F或以下
$16,558 交易量
否
54-55°F
$8,925 交易量
No
56-57°F
$16,931 交易量
No
58-59°F
$12,393 交易量
No
60-61°F
$16,027 交易量
No
62-63°F
$23,721 交易量
Yes
64-65°F
$16,791 交易量
No
66-67°F
$15,412 交易量
No
68-69°F
$15,729 交易量
No
70-71°F
$26,338 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$23,530 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official daily observations confirming this peak amid mild, partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds around 5-10 mph. NOAA hourly METAR reports from KORD captured sustained readings in the low 60s during afternoon hours, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the Global Forecast System and local NWS guidance that projected above-normal warmth—well beyond the 52°F March climatological average—following an early-month warming trend. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor quality checks, though NWS verification processes render such shifts highly improbable. Final climate summaries expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$192,355结束日期
2026-03-29市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official daily observations confirming this peak amid mild, partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds around 5-10 mph. NOAA hourly METAR reports from KORD captured sustained readings in the low 60s during afternoon hours, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the Global Forecast System and local NWS guidance that projected above-normal warmth—well beyond the 52°F March climatological average—following an early-month warming trend. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor quality checks, though NWS verification processes render such shifts highly improbable. Final climate summaries expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$192,355结束日期
2026-03-29市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official daily observations confirming this peak amid mild, partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds around 5-10 mph. NOAA hourly METAR reports from KORD captured sustained readings in the low 60s during afternoon hours, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the Global Forecast System and local NWS guidance that projected above-normal warmth—well beyond the 52°F March climatological average—following an early-month warming trend. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor quality checks, though NWS verification processes render such shifts highly improbable. Final climate summaries expected soon will solidify resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题