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Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Kamala

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,720,851 交易量

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News.

This market will resolve to “Kamala” if Kamala Harris is the Polymarket favorite to win the election one week after the debate. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump is the favorite to win.

The favorite to win one week after the debate will be determined by looking at the 4 hour time window seven days after the debate (which is currently September 17), between 12 PM ET and 4 PM ET. This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period.

The resolution source will be a comparison between the charts for each candidate found at https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024 when the “6H” option is selected and decimals are turned on (settings icon -> Decimals toggled on). If the debate is postponed, the rules will apply to the date one week after the first debate. If no debate occurs before the election, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The relevant data points will be those each minute during 12 PM ET to 4 PM ET (i.e. 12:00, 12:01 up to 3:59 PM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."
交易量
$2,720,851
结束日期
Sep 17, 2024
创建时间
Sep 3, 2024, 1:17 PM ET
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to “Kamala” if Kamala Harris is the Polymarket favorite to win the election one week after the debate. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump is the favorite to win. The favorite to win one week after the debate will be determined by looking at the 4 hour time window seven days after the debate (which is currently September 17), between 12 PM ET and 4 PM ET. This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period. The resolution source will be a comparison between the charts for each candidate found at https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024 when the “6H” option is selected and decimals are turned on (settings icon -> Decimals toggled on). If the debate is postponed, the rules will apply to the date one week after the first debate. If no debate occurs before the election, this market will resolve to 50-50. The relevant data points will be those each minute during 12 PM ET to 4 PM ET (i.e. 12:00, 12:01 up to 3:59 PM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."

已提议结果: Kamala

无争议

最终结果: Kamala

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" has generated $2.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" is "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Kamala

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,720,851 交易量

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News.

This market will resolve to “Kamala” if Kamala Harris is the Polymarket favorite to win the election one week after the debate. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump is the favorite to win.

The favorite to win one week after the debate will be determined by looking at the 4 hour time window seven days after the debate (which is currently September 17), between 12 PM ET and 4 PM ET. This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period.

The resolution source will be a comparison between the charts for each candidate found at https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024 when the “6H” option is selected and decimals are turned on (settings icon -> Decimals toggled on). If the debate is postponed, the rules will apply to the date one week after the first debate. If no debate occurs before the election, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The relevant data points will be those each minute during 12 PM ET to 4 PM ET (i.e. 12:00, 12:01 up to 3:59 PM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."
交易量
$2,720,851
结束日期
Sep 17, 2024
创建时间
Sep 3, 2024, 1:17 PM ET
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to “Kamala” if Kamala Harris is the Polymarket favorite to win the election one week after the debate. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump is the favorite to win. The favorite to win one week after the debate will be determined by looking at the 4 hour time window seven days after the debate (which is currently September 17), between 12 PM ET and 4 PM ET. This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period. The resolution source will be a comparison between the charts for each candidate found at https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024 when the “6H” option is selected and decimals are turned on (settings icon -> Decimals toggled on). If the debate is postponed, the rules will apply to the date one week after the first debate. If no debate occurs before the election, this market will resolve to 50-50. The relevant data points will be those each minute during 12 PM ET to 4 PM ET (i.e. 12:00, 12:01 up to 3:59 PM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."

已提议结果: Kamala

无争议

最终结果: Kamala

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" has generated $2.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" is "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.