Israel commands 33% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner market, propelled by its dominant 2024 televote triumph with Eden Golan's "Hurricane," which mobilized massive diaspora votes from France, the UK, and Germany. Greece trails at 20%, fueled by Marina Satti's sixth-place televote finish last year and its potent expat networks, while Finland's 15% odds stem from Käärijä's 2023 victory and fervent Nordic fandom. In this speculative pre-selection phase, traders prioritize countries with proven televote machinery—large, coordinated voting blocs and viral hit potential—over others, though national contests starting early 2026 could swiftly reshape the wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 20%
Finland 15%
France 6.7%
$489,526 交易量
$489,526 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
20%

Finland
15%

France
7%

Denmark
6%

Ukraine
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Italy
3%

Switzerland
2%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Belgium
1%

Malta
1%

Lithuania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Serbia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 20%
Finland 15%
France 6.7%
$489,526 交易量
$489,526 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
20%

Finland
15%

France
7%

Denmark
6%

Ukraine
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Italy
3%

Switzerland
2%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Belgium
1%

Malta
1%

Lithuania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Serbia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel commands 33% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner market, propelled by its dominant 2024 televote triumph with Eden Golan's "Hurricane," which mobilized massive diaspora votes from France, the UK, and Germany. Greece trails at 20%, fueled by Marina Satti's sixth-place televote finish last year and its potent expat networks, while Finland's 15% odds stem from Käärijä's 2023 victory and fervent Nordic fandom. In this speculative pre-selection phase, traders prioritize countries with proven televote machinery—large, coordinated voting blocs and viral hit potential—over others, though national contests starting early 2026 could swiftly reshape the wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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