Aaron Judge tops trader consensus at 33% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, driven by his elite power production and plate discipline, bolstered by Yankee lineup protection and home run prowess even into his mid-30s. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 15.5% on breakout speed-power combo and Royals' rising contention, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Cal Raleigh share 9.5% amid Vlad's rebound potential post-slump and Raleigh's catcher scarcity with 30+ homers. Julio Rodriguez (8%) gains from Mariners' youth movement, but injury histories temper Mike Trout (5.5%) and Corey Seager (4.5%). Recent offseason quiet on trades or injuries keeps pricing anchored to 2025 finishes, emphasizing health and team wins as pivotal swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Aaron Judge 33%
Bobby Witt Jr. 15%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
卡尔·劳利 9%
Aaron Judge
33%
Bobby Witt Jr.
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
卡尔·劳利
9%
Julio Rodriguez
8%
Jose Ramirez
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Corey Seager
5%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Yordan Alvarez
4%
Aaron Judge 33%
Bobby Witt Jr. 15%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
卡尔·劳利 9%
Aaron Judge
33%
Bobby Witt Jr.
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
卡尔·劳利
9%
Julio Rodriguez
8%
Jose Ramirez
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Corey Seager
5%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Yordan Alvarez
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge tops trader consensus at 33% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, driven by his elite power production and plate discipline, bolstered by Yankee lineup protection and home run prowess even into his mid-30s. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 15.5% on breakout speed-power combo and Royals' rising contention, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Cal Raleigh share 9.5% amid Vlad's rebound potential post-slump and Raleigh's catcher scarcity with 30+ homers. Julio Rodriguez (8%) gains from Mariners' youth movement, but injury histories temper Mike Trout (5.5%) and Corey Seager (4.5%). Recent offseason quiet on trades or injuries keeps pricing anchored to 2025 finishes, emphasizing health and team wins as pivotal swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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