President Daniel Noboa's secure constitutional term until May 2025 anchors the 94% "No" odds on his removal by June 30, as Ecuador's National Assembly lacks the votes or momentum for impeachment amid ongoing gang violence. His April 2024 referendum victory, approving extraditions and military deployments, bolstered public approval to around 50-60% per recent polls, reinforcing stability after January prison riots. No credible challenges from opposition or judicial actions have emerged, with traders viewing his anti-cartel offensive as sustaining governance despite economic pressures. Upcoming assembly sessions pose routine risks but no catalysts for ouster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$423结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$423结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Daniel Noboa's secure constitutional term until May 2025 anchors the 94% "No" odds on his removal by June 30, as Ecuador's National Assembly lacks the votes or momentum for impeachment amid ongoing gang violence. His April 2024 referendum victory, approving extraditions and military deployments, bolstered public approval to around 50-60% per recent polls, reinforcing stability after January prison riots. No credible challenges from opposition or judicial actions have emerged, with traders viewing his anti-cartel offensive as sustaining governance despite economic pressures. Upcoming assembly sessions pose routine risks but no catalysts for ouster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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