Escalating U.S.-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions—handling ~20% of global oil flows—have driven WTI crude spot prices above $112 per barrel as of April 2, 2026, up over 50% monthly, propelling June 2026 futures to ~$98 and positioning the >$84 outcome at 66% implied probability on Polymarket. Trader consensus embeds a substantial geopolitical risk premium amid Middle East supply shut-ins, outpacing OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April due to limited spare capacity. EIA forecasts a potential slide below $80 by year-end on inventory builds, but near-term escalation risks and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve considerations sustain elevated odds for high settlement bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
>84美元 67%
77美元-84美元 14%
70美元至77美元 7.3%
$63-$70 4.5%
$100,918 交易量
$100,918 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
4%
70美元至77美元
7%
77美元-84美元
14%
>84美元
67%
>84美元 67%
77美元-84美元 14%
70美元至77美元 7.3%
$63-$70 4.5%
$100,918 交易量
$100,918 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
$4,302 交易量
2%
$42-$49
$3,648 交易量
2%
$49-$56
$4,977 交易量
2%
$56-$63
$4,130 交易量
4%
$63-$70
$16,667 交易量
4%
70美元至77美元
$5,645 交易量
7%
77美元-84美元
$8,676 交易量
14%
>84美元
$52,872 交易量
67%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Escalating U.S.-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions—handling ~20% of global oil flows—have driven WTI crude spot prices above $112 per barrel as of April 2, 2026, up over 50% monthly, propelling June 2026 futures to ~$98 and positioning the >$84 outcome at 66% implied probability on Polymarket. Trader consensus embeds a substantial geopolitical risk premium amid Middle East supply shut-ins, outpacing OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April due to limited spare capacity. EIA forecasts a potential slide below $80 by year-end on inventory builds, but near-term escalation risks and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve considerations sustain elevated odds for high settlement bins.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$100,918结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Escalating U.S.-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions—handling ~20% of global oil flows—have driven WTI crude spot prices above $112 per barrel as of April 2, 2026, up over 50% monthly, propelling June 2026 futures to ~$98 and positioning the >$84 outcome at 66% implied probability on Polymarket. Trader consensus embeds a substantial geopolitical risk premium amid Middle East supply shut-ins, outpacing OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April due to limited spare capacity. EIA forecasts a potential slide below $80 by year-end on inventory builds, but near-term escalation risks and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve considerations sustain elevated odds for high settlement bins.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$100,918结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETEscalating U.S.-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions—handling ~20% of global oil flows—have driven WTI crude spot prices above $112 per barrel as of April 2, 2026, up over 50% monthly, propelling June 2026 futures to ~$98 and positioning the >$84 outcome at 66% implied probability on Polymarket. Trader consensus embeds a substantial geopolitical risk premium amid Middle East supply shut-ins, outpacing OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April due to limited spare capacity. EIA forecasts a potential slide below $80 by year-end on inventory builds, but near-term escalation risks and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve considerations sustain elevated odds for high settlement bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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