Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split, with 52.5% implying a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion upon Anthropic's IPO versus 45.5% for no public listing by December 31, 2027, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer discussing an October debut that could raise over $60 billion. Following a blockbuster $30 billion Series G round in February valuing the firm at $380 billion post-money—bolstered by Amazon and Google investments—private secondary trading has surged, signaling premium potential amid Claude's edge in AI safety benchmarks and coding capabilities versus OpenAI's GPT series. Yet, persistent cash burn, recent code leaks, and intensifying competition from xAI and DeepMind fuel no-IPO bets; watch for S-1 filings or Q2 model demos as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于6000 亿美元及以上 53%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO 45%
4000–6000亿 1.7%
3000–4000亿美元 1.1%
$106,324 交易量
$106,324 交易量
2027-12-31
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
1%
2000–3000 亿
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
1%
4000–6000亿
2%
6000 亿美元及以上
53%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO
45%
6000 亿美元及以上 53%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO 45%
4000–6000亿 1.7%
3000–4000亿美元 1.1%
$106,324 交易量
$106,324 交易量
2027-12-31
低于1000亿
$48,802 交易量
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
$5,835 交易量
1%
2000–3000 亿
$4,497 交易量
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
$27,877 交易量
1%
4000–6000亿
$4,827 交易量
2%
6000 亿美元及以上
$8,818 交易量
53%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO
$5,668 交易量
45%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split, with 52.5% implying a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion upon Anthropic's IPO versus 45.5% for no public listing by December 31, 2027, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer discussing an October debut that could raise over $60 billion. Following a blockbuster $30 billion Series G round in February valuing the firm at $380 billion post-money—bolstered by Amazon and Google investments—private secondary trading has surged, signaling premium potential amid Claude's edge in AI safety benchmarks and coding capabilities versus OpenAI's GPT series. Yet, persistent cash burn, recent code leaks, and intensifying competition from xAI and DeepMind fuel no-IPO bets; watch for S-1 filings or Q2 model demos as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
交易量
$106,324结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split, with 52.5% implying a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion upon Anthropic's IPO versus 45.5% for no public listing by December 31, 2027, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer discussing an October debut that could raise over $60 billion. Following a blockbuster $30 billion Series G round in February valuing the firm at $380 billion post-money—bolstered by Amazon and Google investments—private secondary trading has surged, signaling premium potential amid Claude's edge in AI safety benchmarks and coding capabilities versus OpenAI's GPT series. Yet, persistent cash burn, recent code leaks, and intensifying competition from xAI and DeepMind fuel no-IPO bets; watch for S-1 filings or Q2 model demos as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$106,324结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split, with 52.5% implying a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion upon Anthropic's IPO versus 45.5% for no public listing by December 31, 2027, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer discussing an October debut that could raise over $60 billion. Following a blockbuster $30 billion Series G round in February valuing the firm at $380 billion post-money—bolstered by Amazon and Google investments—private secondary trading has surged, signaling premium potential amid Claude's edge in AI safety benchmarks and coding capabilities versus OpenAI's GPT series. Yet, persistent cash burn, recent code leaks, and intensifying competition from xAI and DeepMind fuel no-IPO bets; watch for S-1 filings or Q2 model demos as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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