Market icon

2025 March hottest on record?

<1% chance

$716,926 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior March when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for March 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for March, and if 2025 March is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 March is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for March 2025 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
交易量
$716,926
结束日期
Mar 31, 2025
创建于
Feb 27, 2025, 3:31 PM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

注意外部链接。

Market icon

2025 March hottest on record?

<1% chance

$716,926 交易量

关于

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior March when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for March 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for March, and if 2025 March is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 March is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for March 2025 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
交易量
$716,926
结束日期
Mar 31, 2025
创建于
Feb 27, 2025, 3:31 PM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

注意外部链接。