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搖擺州 預測與賠率

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What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?

75%

Big Beautiful Bill

$652 交易量

$8.5K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.4K 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

2

Ends 5 個月內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

80%

$2.8K 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends 5 個月內

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

86%

$1.4K 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

10%

June 30

$165K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

10

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

82%

↓ 0.0014

$108K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

80%

Turek <10%

$100 交易量

$32 Liq.

Ends 大約 11 小時前

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

63%

$6.3K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$40.3K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

99%

1.2–1.5M

$154K 交易量

$87.5K Liq.

2

Ends 8 天前

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

44%

130m+

$7.4K 交易量

$46.7K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

48%

Becerra <5%

$22.2K 交易量

$45.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

47%

Democrats Sweep

$7M 交易量

$806K Liq.

207

Ends 5 個月內

Which pair advances to South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff?

Which pair advances to South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff?

59%

Toby Doeden x Dusty Johnson

$1.6K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

4%

$35.5K 交易量

$15.6K Liq.

2

Ends 27 天內

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in June 2026?

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in June 2026?

44%

↓ $180

$7.2K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

Ends 28 天內

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

17%

Democrats 8-10%

$47.2K 交易量

$299K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

32%

140-159

$3.2K 交易量

$44.8K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

97%

Paxton 25–30%

$136K 交易量

$59.2K Liq.

4

Ends 8 天前

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

69%

$49.3K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

9

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 搖擺州 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 搖擺州 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.