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搖擺州 預測與賠率

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United States vs. Paraguay

United States vs. Paraguay

28%

Yes

$166K 交易量

$83.8K today

$243K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

United States vs. Australia

United States vs. Australia

25%

Yes

$15.1K 交易量

$120K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

98%

North Carolina

$288K 交易量

$258K Liq.

5

Ends 5 個月內

Türkiye vs. United States

Türkiye vs. United States

28%

Yes

$5.2K 交易量

$63.4K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

United States vs. Germany

United States vs. Germany

21%

Yes

$1.6K 交易量

$21.6K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

100%

Wisconsin

$288K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

14

Ends 7 個月內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

75%

July 31

$29M 交易量

$158K today

$314K Liq.

563

Ends 27 天內

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

49%

No Meeting by June 30

$8M 交易量

$57.7K today

$566K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

96%

No meeting by June 30

$8M 交易量

$357K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

56%

No meeting by December 31

$24.0K 交易量

$154K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

36%

United States

$30.6K 交易量

$91.6K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

17%

Spain

$62.5K 交易量

$755K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

73%

No Announcement by June 30

$915K 交易量

$170K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

35%

220–249

$1.4K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$1.1K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

69%

South Sudan

$13.4K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

98%

<200

$4.6K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

26%

Lee Zeldin

$834 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

38%

Keith Sonderling

$45.2K 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

1

Ends 7 個月內

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

53%

1250+

$72.8K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for 搖擺州 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “United States vs. Paraguay”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $46.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 75% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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