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獎章 預測與賠率

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

56%

Hong Wang

$523K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

73%

$4.8K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

83%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

125

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

33

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K 交易量

$18.7K Liq.

10

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

93%

$660M

$53 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

48%

80-99

$7.2K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$933 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth?

Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth?

30%

1%+

$1.9K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above __?

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above __?

96%

$1.25B

$5.9K 交易量

$16.9K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

TJX Q1 comp sales growth?

TJX Q1 comp sales growth?

47%

<3%

$0 交易量

$97 Liq.

Ends 3 天內

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

39%

Baby

$10.9K 交易量

$698 Liq.

Ends 大約 8 小時前

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$796 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$645K 交易量

$35.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

FIFA World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

FIFA World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

50%

Lamine Yamal

$5.9K 交易量

$14.5K Liq.

1

Ends 2 個月內

Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above __?

Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above __?

94%

$1.65B

$345 交易量

$420 Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

91%

$27.5B

$621 交易量

$103 Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

87%

$170 billion

$689 交易量

$12.6K Liq.

Ends 12 個月內

Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

46%

<4%

$1 交易量

$262 Liq.

Ends 16 天內

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$1.9K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for 獎章 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 獎章 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.