Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the Constructors' Championship with 180 points after Kimi Antonelli's victory at the Miami Grand Prix on May 3, extending their advantage over Ferrari (110 points) and McLaren (94 points), fueling trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability. Antonelli tops the drivers' standings with 100 points ahead of teammate George Russell (80), showcasing Mercedes' superior race pace, pit strategy, and reliability under 2026 regulations. McLaren's double podium in Miami narrowed the gap to Ferrari, boosting their 16.9% odds amid momentum from Lando Norris, while Red Bull's struggles—limited to 30 points from DNFs and qualifying deficits—cap them at 1.5%. Ferrari's inconsistencies drop them to 5.5%, with midfield teams like Alpine and Haas trailing far behind, leaving little path to catch the leaders over remaining Grands Prix.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅賽德斯 75%
麥拉倫 16.9%
法拉利 6%
紅牛車隊 1.4%
$17,643,542 交易量
$17,643,542 交易量

梅賽德斯
75%

麥拉倫
17%

法拉利
6%

紅牛車隊
1%

威廉斯
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%

凱迪拉克
<1%
梅賽德斯 75%
麥拉倫 16.9%
法拉利 6%
紅牛車隊 1.4%
$17,643,542 交易量
$17,643,542 交易量

梅賽德斯
75%

麥拉倫
17%

法拉利
6%

紅牛車隊
1%

威廉斯
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%

凱迪拉克
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the Constructors' Championship with 180 points after Kimi Antonelli's victory at the Miami Grand Prix on May 3, extending their advantage over Ferrari (110 points) and McLaren (94 points), fueling trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability. Antonelli tops the drivers' standings with 100 points ahead of teammate George Russell (80), showcasing Mercedes' superior race pace, pit strategy, and reliability under 2026 regulations. McLaren's double podium in Miami narrowed the gap to Ferrari, boosting their 16.9% odds amid momentum from Lando Norris, while Red Bull's struggles—limited to 30 points from DNFs and qualifying deficits—cap them at 1.5%. Ferrari's inconsistencies drop them to 5.5%, with midfield teams like Alpine and Haas trailing far behind, leaving little path to catch the leaders over remaining Grands Prix.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions