Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 503 points, 145 ahead of Ferrari and nearly 200 clear of McLaren, fueling the 95.9% implied probability in trader consensus. Strong results from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, including multiple wins and podiums across the season, have built this buffer through consistent scoring in the revised power-unit era. Ferrari and McLaren have posted occasional strong weekends and upgrades but lack the sustained pace or reliability edge to close the gap over the remaining rounds. A realistic shift would require prolonged Mercedes unreliability or a dramatic late surge from rivals, scenarios traders currently price as remote given the standings and calendar.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅賽德斯 96.0%
法拉利 1.3%
麥拉倫 <1%
紅牛車隊 <1%
$28,890,406 交易量
$28,890,406 交易量

梅賽德斯
96%

法拉利
1%

麥拉倫
1%

紅牛車隊
<1%
梅賽德斯 96.0%
法拉利 1.3%
麥拉倫 <1%
紅牛車隊 <1%
$28,890,406 交易量
$28,890,406 交易量

梅賽德斯
96%

法拉利
1%

麥拉倫
1%

紅牛車隊
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 503 points, 145 ahead of Ferrari and nearly 200 clear of McLaren, fueling the 95.9% implied probability in trader consensus. Strong results from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, including multiple wins and podiums across the season, have built this buffer through consistent scoring in the revised power-unit era. Ferrari and McLaren have posted occasional strong weekends and upgrades but lack the sustained pace or reliability edge to close the gap over the remaining rounds. A realistic shift would require prolonged Mercedes unreliability or a dramatic late surge from rivals, scenarios traders currently price as remote given the standings and calendar.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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