Mercedes holds a commanding 72.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion favorite, bolstered by a 180-point lead after four Grands Prix, including Kimi Antonelli's Miami win from pole and George Russell's P4 finish last weekend. Their early-season dominance—poles and victories in Australia, China, Japan, and Miami—stems from superior 2026 power unit performance and race pace, outpacing rivals amid new regulations. McLaren's 17% reflects strong Miami podiums (Norris P2, Piastri P3), narrowing the gap to 86 points while showcasing consistent points haul. Ferrari trails at 5.5% with 110 points from Charles Leclerc's efforts, but lacks Mercedes' consistency; Red Bull's 1.5% underscores their struggles with just 30 points and reliability issues. Trader consensus anticipates Mercedes' momentum persisting through the 24-race calendar.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅賽德斯 73%
麥拉倫 17.0%
法拉利 6%
紅牛車隊 1.4%
$16,953,460 交易量
$16,953,460 交易量

梅賽德斯
73%

麥拉倫
17%

法拉利
6%

紅牛車隊
1%

威廉斯
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%

凱迪拉克
<1%
梅賽德斯 73%
麥拉倫 17.0%
法拉利 6%
紅牛車隊 1.4%
$16,953,460 交易量
$16,953,460 交易量

梅賽德斯
73%

麥拉倫
17%

法拉利
6%

紅牛車隊
1%

威廉斯
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%

凱迪拉克
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 72.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion favorite, bolstered by a 180-point lead after four Grands Prix, including Kimi Antonelli's Miami win from pole and George Russell's P4 finish last weekend. Their early-season dominance—poles and victories in Australia, China, Japan, and Miami—stems from superior 2026 power unit performance and race pace, outpacing rivals amid new regulations. McLaren's 17% reflects strong Miami podiums (Norris P2, Piastri P3), narrowing the gap to 86 points while showcasing consistent points haul. Ferrari trails at 5.5% with 110 points from Charles Leclerc's efforts, but lacks Mercedes' consistency; Red Bull's 1.5% underscores their struggles with just 30 points and reliability issues. Trader consensus anticipates Mercedes' momentum persisting through the 24-race calendar.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions