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Gpt 4 預測與賠率

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OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

33%

50%+

$24.8K 交易量

$748 Liq.

1

Ends 27 天內

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

54%

60%+

$37.3K 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

4

Ends 27 天內

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

55%

June 8–June 14

$52.2K 交易量

$16.5K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

92%

July 31

$422K 交易量

$81.4K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 2 個月內

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$332K 交易量

$16.4K Liq.

44

Ends 5 個月前

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

29%

3

$2.1K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

29%

June 30

$43.8K 交易量

$48 Liq.

1

Ends 2 個月前

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

97%

September 30

$20.5K 交易量

$19.1K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

31%

-3%– -1.5%

$9.0K 交易量

$13.4K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

72%

Atreides

$398 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 17 小時內

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 交易量

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Grok 4.4 released by...?

Grok 4.4 released by...?

69%

June 30

$10.5K 交易量

$9.9K Liq.

2

Ends 27 天內

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

62%

0

$1M 交易量

$18.7K Liq.

9

Ends 10 個月內

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group A

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group A

62%

The Last Resort

$5 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時內

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ZOTIX

$1.8K 交易量

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group C

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group C

65%

Leo Team

$0 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above __ ?

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above __ ?

51%

$1.2B

$211 交易量

$122 Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

55%

1500-1510

$9.7K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

3

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above __?

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above __?

89%

$6.8B

$49 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Gpt 4 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to 0. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt 4 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.