Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
人工智能技術·Politics

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

14%

$34.5K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
人工智能技術·SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

88%

SpaceX

$46.8K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

IPOs before 2027?
人工智能技術·Business

IPOs before 2027?

88%

Cerebras

$4M 交易量

$134K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
人工智能技術·AI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

$28.9K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
人工智能技術·Politics

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

41%

$64.1K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
人工智能技術·Politics

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

34%

$7.8K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 10 months

AI bubble burst by...?
人工智能技術·Business

AI bubble burst by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$26.1K Liq.

67

Ends in 10 months

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
人工智能技術·Business

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

15%

$0 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?
人工智能技術·Sam Altman

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

2%

$8.2K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
人工智能技術·Sam Altman

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

32%

December 31, 2026

$178K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

28

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
人工智能技術·AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

32%

Anthropic

$8.7K 交易量

$17.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
人工智能技術·AI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

35%

$0 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
人工智能技術·Business

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

19%

$61.1K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
人工智能技術·Business

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

28%

xAI

$1M 交易量

$43.0K Liq.

22

Ends in 4 months

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
人工智能技術·AI

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

9%

$38.1K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
人工智能技術·Politics

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

6%

$97.5K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
人工智能技術·AI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

87%

OpenAI

$661K 交易量

$134K Liq.

8

Ends in 16 days

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
人工智能技術·Business

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

53%

Earbuds/Headphones

$0 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

12

Ends in 10 months

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
人工智能技術·AI

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

77%

Anthropic

$379K 交易量

$62.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
人工智能技術·Sports

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

12%

$3.1K 交易量

$922 Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 人工智能技術.

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As of today, the most active market is “IPOs before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Once Upon a Farm. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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