Polymarket traders are pricing a modest 45% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $25 by March 31, reflecting caution amid spot prices hovering near $24.20 after a recent pullback from $25.50 highs driven by safe-haven flows and industrial demand from solar panels. Key headwinds include a strengthening USD index above 104 and hawkish Fed signals ahead of the March 20 FOMC meeting, where dot-plot updates could reinforce higher-for-longer rates, pressuring precious metals. Upside catalysts feature softer CPI data on March 12 and gold's rally above $2,150, with silver's 0.85 correlation to gold amplifying spillovers; watch COMEX inventories and ETF inflows for positioning shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$959,689 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ 65美元
55%
↓ $60
17%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$959,689 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ 65美元
55%
↓ $60
17%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a modest 45% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $25 by March 31, reflecting caution amid spot prices hovering near $24.20 after a recent pullback from $25.50 highs driven by safe-haven flows and industrial demand from solar panels. Key headwinds include a strengthening USD index above 104 and hawkish Fed signals ahead of the March 20 FOMC meeting, where dot-plot updates could reinforce higher-for-longer rates, pressuring precious metals. Upside catalysts feature softer CPI data on March 12 and gold's rally above $2,150, with silver's 0.85 correlation to gold amplifying spillovers; watch COMEX inventories and ETF inflows for positioning shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions