Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for silver (SI) to hit $30 per ounce by March 31, driven primarily by spot prices climbing to $29.45 amid COMEX futures gains of 4.2% this week, fueled by industrial demand from solar manufacturing and electronics. A weakening U.S. dollar—down 1.8% versus major currencies—amplifies precious metals appeal as an inflation hedge, while gold's rally above $2,400/oz offers correlation support. Key risks include Thursday's CPI data release, where persistent inflation could bolster Fed rate cut skepticism and cap upside; historical end-of-quarter positioning often boosts volumes. Trader consensus reflects real-money bets on momentum breaching technical resistance at $30, with resolution tied to official COMEX settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,015,223 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ 65美元
56%
↓ $60
18%
↓ 50美元
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$1,015,223 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ 65美元
56%
↓ $60
18%
↓ 50美元
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for silver (SI) to hit $30 per ounce by March 31, driven primarily by spot prices climbing to $29.45 amid COMEX futures gains of 4.2% this week, fueled by industrial demand from solar manufacturing and electronics. A weakening U.S. dollar—down 1.8% versus major currencies—amplifies precious metals appeal as an inflation hedge, while gold's rally above $2,400/oz offers correlation support. Key risks include Thursday's CPI data release, where persistent inflation could bolster Fed rate cut skepticism and cap upside; historical end-of-quarter positioning often boosts volumes. Trader consensus reflects real-money bets on momentum breaching technical resistance at $30, with resolution tied to official COMEX settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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