Trader sentiment on silver (SI) reaching the target price by March 31 hinges on its current spot price hovering around $25.50, well below the threshold amid a strengthening US dollar and hawkish Fed rhetoric curbing precious metals rallies. Market-implied odds reflect low conviction at ~15%, backed by real capital wagering on persistent industrial demand weakness from China and elevated 10-year Treasury yields pressuring upside. Key catalysts include Thursday's PCE inflation data and next week's FOMC minutes, where softer readings could weaken the dollar and boost implied probabilities; historical precedent shows silver surges 5-10% post-dovish pivots, though ETF outflows signal caution for end-month resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,147,088 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
<1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ 65美元
33%
↓ $60
6%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,147,088 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
<1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ 65美元
33%
↓ $60
6%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on silver (SI) reaching the target price by March 31 hinges on its current spot price hovering around $25.50, well below the threshold amid a strengthening US dollar and hawkish Fed rhetoric curbing precious metals rallies. Market-implied odds reflect low conviction at ~15%, backed by real capital wagering on persistent industrial demand weakness from China and elevated 10-year Treasury yields pressuring upside. Key catalysts include Thursday's PCE inflation data and next week's FOMC minutes, where softer readings could weaken the dollar and boost implied probabilities; historical precedent shows silver surges 5-10% post-dovish pivots, though ETF outflows signal caution for end-month resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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