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政治·烏克蘭

俄羅斯會在…前佔領波克羅夫卡嗎？

Market icon
政治·烏克蘭

俄羅斯會在…前佔領波克羅夫卡嗎？

$47,883 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$47,883 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$10,565 交易量

19%

4月30日

$110 交易量

41%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have made limited probing attacks toward Pokrovka, a village southeast of Sumy City in northern Ukraine's Sumy Oblast, as part of ongoing cross-border operations aimed at pressuring Ukrainian defenses and potentially creating a buffer zone. The Institute for the Study of War reported on March 12 that Russian troops were attempting to fully seize Pokrovka and advance toward nearby Ryasne, but no confirmed advances or capture have occurred since, with subsequent assessments through March 26 noting stalled offensives elsewhere in the region amid Ukrainian counter-fire and terrain challenges. No major military developments have emerged in the past week, reflecting attritional fighting with Russian small-unit infiltrations facing heavy Ukrainian resistance from reinforced positions. Traders weigh persistent Ukrainian defensive holds, seasonal mud hindering mechanized assaults, and Russian redeployments to other fronts like Donetsk as key barriers to near-term capture, though escalation risks persist into spring with improved mobility.

Russian forces have made limited probing attacks toward Pokrovka, a village southeast of Sumy City in northern Ukraine's Sumy Oblast, as part of ongoing cross-border operations aimed at pressuring Ukrainian defenses and potentially creating a buffer zone. The Institute for the Study of War reported on March 12 that Russian troops were attempting to fully seize Pokrovka and advance toward nearby Ryasne, but no confirmed advances or capture have occurred since, with subsequent assessments through March 26 noting stalled offensives elsewhere in the region amid Ukrainian counter-fire and terrain challenges. No major military developments have emerged in the past week, reflecting attritional fighting with Russian small-unit infiltrations facing heavy Ukrainian resistance from reinforced positions. Traders weigh persistent Ukrainian defensive holds, seasonal mud hindering mechanized assaults, and Russian redeployments to other fronts like Donetsk as key barriers to near-term capture, though escalation risks persist into spring with improved mobility.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have made limited probing attacks toward Pokrovka, a village southeast of Sumy City in northern Ukraine's Sumy Oblast, as part of ongoing cross-border operations aimed at pressuring Ukrainian defenses and potentially creating a buffer zone. The Institute for the Study of War reported on March 12 that Russian troops were attempting to fully seize Pokrovka and advance toward nearby Ryasne, but no confirmed advances or capture have occurred since, with subsequent assessments through March 26 noting stalled offensives elsewhere in the region amid Ukrainian counter-fire and terrain challenges. No major military developments have emerged in the past week, reflecting attritional fighting with Russian small-unit infiltrations facing heavy Ukrainian resistance from reinforced positions. Traders weigh persistent Ukrainian defensive holds, seasonal mud hindering mechanized assaults, and Russian redeployments to other fronts like Donetsk as key barriers to near-term capture, though escalation risks persist into spring with improved mobility.

Russian forces have made limited probing attacks toward Pokrovka, a village southeast of Sumy City in northern Ukraine's Sumy Oblast, as part of ongoing cross-border operations aimed at pressuring Ukrainian defenses and potentially creating a buffer zone. The Institute for the Study of War reported on March 12 that Russian troops were attempting to fully seize Pokrovka and advance toward nearby Ryasne, but no confirmed advances or capture have occurred since, with subsequent assessments through March 26 noting stalled offensives elsewhere in the region amid Ukrainian counter-fire and terrain challenges. No major military developments have emerged in the past week, reflecting attritional fighting with Russian small-unit infiltrations facing heavy Ukrainian resistance from reinforced positions. Traders weigh persistent Ukrainian defensive holds, seasonal mud hindering mechanized assaults, and Russian redeployments to other fronts like Donetsk as key barriers to near-term capture, though escalation risks persist into spring with improved mobility.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄羅斯會在…前佔領波克羅夫卡嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月30日" at 41%, followed by "3月31日" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄羅斯會在…前佔領波克羅夫卡嗎？" has generated $47.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄羅斯會在…前佔領波克羅夫卡嗎？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄羅斯會在…前佔領波克羅夫卡嗎？" is "4月30日" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3月31日" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄羅斯會在…前佔領波克羅夫卡嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.