Market icon
政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Market icon
政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

4月30日之後 57.6%

4月13日至16日 24.5%

4月17日至20日 7.0%

4月1日至4日 2.5%

Polymarket

$66,499 交易量

4月30日之後 57.6%

4月13日至16日 24.5%

4月17日至20日 7.0%

4月1日至4日 2.5%

Polymarket

$66,499 交易量

4月1日之前

$27,891 交易量

2%

4月1日至4日

$1,655 交易量

3%

4月5日至8日

$1,594 交易量

2%

4月9日至12日

$1,292 交易量

1%

4月13日至16日

$7,466 交易量

25%

4月17日至20日

$1,040 交易量

7%

4月21日至24日

$17,656 交易量

2%

4月25日至28日

$2,032 交易量

1%

4月29日至30日

$2,130 交易量

1%

4月30日之後

$3,741 交易量

58%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS partial government shutdown extending after April 30 (58%), reflecting prolonged congressional impasse over appropriations for ICE and CBP amid disputes on immigration enforcement reforms.** The shutdown, now over 40 days since mid-February funding lapse, intensified with the Senate's unanimous early March 27 passage of a bill funding most DHS components like TSA and FEMA—prompting airport delays—but House Republicans rejected it for excluding border security agencies. House countered March 28 with a 60-day continuing resolution for full DHS funding, yet no bipartisan agreement emerged amid partisan recriminations. Mid-April odds (e.g., April 13-16 at 25%) anticipate potential post-Easter recess negotiations or whip counts, while earlier windows reflect slim chances absent sudden cloture or presidential intervention. Upcoming floor votes could shift probabilities.

**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS partial government shutdown extending after April 30 (58%), reflecting prolonged congressional impasse over appropriations for ICE and CBP amid disputes on immigration enforcement reforms.** The shutdown, now over 40 days since mid-February funding lapse, intensified with the Senate's unanimous early March 27 passage of a bill funding most DHS components like TSA and FEMA—prompting airport delays—but House Republicans rejected it for excluding border security agencies. House countered March 28 with a 60-day continuing resolution for full DHS funding, yet no bipartisan agreement emerged amid partisan recriminations. Mid-April odds (e.g., April 13-16 at 25%) anticipate potential post-Easter recess negotiations or whip counts, while earlier windows reflect slim chances absent sudden cloture or presidential intervention. Upcoming floor votes could shift probabilities.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS partial government shutdown extending after April 30 (58%), reflecting prolonged congressional impasse over appropriations for ICE and CBP amid disputes on immigration enforcement reforms.** The shutdown, now over 40 days since mid-February funding lapse, intensified with the Senate's unanimous early March 27 passage of a bill funding most DHS components like TSA and FEMA—prompting airport delays—but House Republicans rejected it for excluding border security agencies. House countered March 28 with a 60-day continuing resolution for full DHS funding, yet no bipartisan agreement emerged amid partisan recriminations. Mid-April odds (e.g., April 13-16 at 25%) anticipate potential post-Easter recess negotiations or whip counts, while earlier windows reflect slim chances absent sudden cloture or presidential intervention. Upcoming floor votes could shift probabilities.

**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS partial government shutdown extending after April 30 (58%), reflecting prolonged congressional impasse over appropriations for ICE and CBP amid disputes on immigration enforcement reforms.** The shutdown, now over 40 days since mid-February funding lapse, intensified with the Senate's unanimous early March 27 passage of a bill funding most DHS components like TSA and FEMA—prompting airport delays—but House Republicans rejected it for excluding border security agencies. House countered March 28 with a 60-day continuing resolution for full DHS funding, yet no bipartisan agreement emerged amid partisan recriminations. Mid-April odds (e.g., April 13-16 at 25%) anticipate potential post-Easter recess negotiations or whip counts, while earlier windows reflect slim chances absent sudden cloture or presidential intervention. Upcoming floor votes could shift probabilities.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"國土安全部關機何時結束？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月30日之後" at 58%, followed by "4月13日至16日" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "國土安全部關機何時結束？" has generated $66.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "國土安全部關機何時結束？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" is "4月30日之後" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月13日至16日" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.