Polymarket traders price a 52.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling at $90+ in March, driven primarily by OPEC+ extending voluntary production cuts through Q1 2025 amid tightening global supply. Recent EIA reports confirm four-week US inventory draws totaling 15 million barrels, bolstering bullish sentiment, while Houthi attacks in the Red Sea have rerouted 12% of tanker traffic, adding a 2-3% risk premium to benchmarks. Resilient Chinese demand signals and anticipated Fed rate cuts support economic growth, positioning $85-$90 (22%) as the next likely bin, though surging US shale output tempers extreme upside ahead of March 20 contract expiry.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$90以上 53%
$85-$90 22%
80-85美元 9.3%
75到80美元 6.3%
$688,638 交易量
$688,638 交易量
低於60美元
1%
60至65美元
1%
$65-$70
2%
70至75美元
3%
75到80美元
6%
80-85美元
9%
$85-$90
22%
$90以上
53%
$90以上 53%
$85-$90 22%
80-85美元 9.3%
75到80美元 6.3%
$688,638 交易量
$688,638 交易量
低於60美元
1%
60至65美元
1%
$65-$70
2%
70至75美元
3%
75到80美元
6%
80-85美元
9%
$85-$90
22%
$90以上
53%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 3, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 52.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling at $90+ in March, driven primarily by OPEC+ extending voluntary production cuts through Q1 2025 amid tightening global supply. Recent EIA reports confirm four-week US inventory draws totaling 15 million barrels, bolstering bullish sentiment, while Houthi attacks in the Red Sea have rerouted 12% of tanker traffic, adding a 2-3% risk premium to benchmarks. Resilient Chinese demand signals and anticipated Fed rate cuts support economic growth, positioning $85-$90 (22%) as the next likely bin, though surging US shale output tempers extreme upside ahead of March 20 contract expiry.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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