Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from Congress on April 14, preempting a potential House expulsion vote amid an ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation into his admitted affair with staffer Regina Santos-Aviles, who died by self-immolation in November 2025 shortly after the relationship surfaced. Recent allegations from the staffer's attorney claim coercion and possible misuse of taxpayer funds for related travel, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability of formal criminal charges by June 30. No DOJ or FBI probe has been confirmed, but the ethics panel's findings could prompt a referral, heightening uncertainty in this closely watched case.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from Congress on April 14, preempting a potential House expulsion vote amid an ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation into his admitted affair with staffer Regina Santos-Aviles, who died by self-immolation in November 2025 shortly after the relationship surfaced. Recent allegations from the staffer's attorney claim coercion and possible misuse of taxpayer funds for related travel, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability of formal criminal charges by June 30. No DOJ or FBI probe has been confirmed, but the ethics panel's findings could prompt a referral, heightening uncertainty in this closely watched case.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$6,100結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from Congress on April 14, preempting a potential House expulsion vote amid an ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation into his admitted affair with staffer Regina Santos-Aviles, who died by self-immolation in November 2025 shortly after the relationship surfaced. Recent allegations from the staffer's attorney claim coercion and possible misuse of taxpayer funds for related travel, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability of formal criminal charges by June 30. No DOJ or FBI probe has been confirmed, but the ethics panel's findings could prompt a referral, heightening uncertainty in this closely watched case.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$6,100結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from Congress on April 14, preempting a potential House expulsion vote amid an ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation into his admitted affair with staffer Regina Santos-Aviles, who died by self-immolation in November 2025 shortly after the relationship surfaced. Recent allegations from the staffer's attorney claim coercion and possible misuse of taxpayer funds for related travel, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability of formal criminal charges by June 30. No DOJ or FBI probe has been confirmed, but the ethics panel's findings could prompt a referral, heightening uncertainty in this closely watched case.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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