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政治·主要

田納西州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

田納西州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

傑瑞·格林 83%

Carnita Atwater 9%

亞當·柯茲 5.6%

提姆·賽爾 3.8%

Polymarket

$37,367 交易量

傑瑞·格林 83%

Carnita Atwater 9%

亞當·柯茲 5.6%

提姆·賽爾 3.8%

Polymarket

$37,367 交易量

傑瑞·格林

$25,853 交易量

83%

Carnita Atwater

$0 交易量

9%

亞當·柯茲

$0 交易量

6%

提姆·賽爾

$11,514 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Memphis City Councilmember Jerri Green leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her elected experience, active campaigning—including recent speeches in Kingsport and social media outreach—and superior name recognition following the March 10 qualifying deadline that finalized a field lacking major challengers. Carnita Atwater (8.5%), a prior grassroots candidate, Adam Kurtz (6.2%), a musician advocating policy shifts, and Tim Cyr (3.8%) trail amid minimal polling or fundraising visibility for Democrats in this Republican-leaning state. Absent endorsements, scandals, or late surges, Green's path solidifies the crowded primary dynamics.

Memphis City Councilmember Jerri Green leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her elected experience, active campaigning—including recent speeches in Kingsport and social media outreach—and superior name recognition following the March 10 qualifying deadline that finalized a field lacking major challengers. Carnita Atwater (8.5%), a prior grassroots candidate, Adam Kurtz (6.2%), a musician advocating policy shifts, and Tim Cyr (3.8%) trail amid minimal polling or fundraising visibility for Democrats in this Republican-leaning state. Absent endorsements, scandals, or late surges, Green's path solidifies the crowded primary dynamics.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Memphis City Councilmember Jerri Green leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her elected experience, active campaigning—including recent speeches in Kingsport and social media outreach—and superior name recognition following the March 10 qualifying deadline that finalized a field lacking major challengers. Carnita Atwater (8.5%), a prior grassroots candidate, Adam Kurtz (6.2%), a musician advocating policy shifts, and Tim Cyr (3.8%) trail amid minimal polling or fundraising visibility for Democrats in this Republican-leaning state. Absent endorsements, scandals, or late surges, Green's path solidifies the crowded primary dynamics.

Memphis City Councilmember Jerri Green leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her elected experience, active campaigning—including recent speeches in Kingsport and social media outreach—and superior name recognition following the March 10 qualifying deadline that finalized a field lacking major challengers. Carnita Atwater (8.5%), a prior grassroots candidate, Adam Kurtz (6.2%), a musician advocating policy shifts, and Tim Cyr (3.8%) trail amid minimal polling or fundraising visibility for Democrats in this Republican-leaning state. Absent endorsements, scandals, or late surges, Green's path solidifies the crowded primary dynamics.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"田納西州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑瑞·格林" at 83%, followed by "Carnita Atwater" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "田納西州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $37.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "田納西州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "田納西州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "傑瑞·格林" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carnita Atwater" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "田納西州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.