Silver futures (SI) command a 62% implied probability on Polymarket of closing above $30/oz by end-June, fueled primarily by robust industrial demand from solar energy and electronics sectors amid China's stimulus measures, alongside a 3% YTD weakening of the US dollar index. Spot silver hovers at $29.82/oz, up 18% this year and tracking gold's record highs above $2,400/oz, with COMEX inventories up modestly but mine supply lags from Mexico disruptions. Traders eye the June 12 CPI release and FOMC meeting, where no rate cut is consensus-priced (5% odds), as potential catalysts; hotter inflation could bolster precious metals while stronger data risks USD rebound and pullback. Historical June seasonality favors modest gains, but volatility looms near key $30 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$166,901 交易量
140美元
13%
120美元
12%
110美元
14%
100美元
20%
$95
21%
90美元
33%
85美元
32%
80美元
33%
75美元
47%
70 美元
52%
65美元
59%
60美元
74%
$166,901 交易量
140美元
13%
120美元
12%
110美元
14%
100美元
20%
$95
21%
90美元
33%
85美元
32%
80美元
33%
75美元
47%
70 美元
52%
65美元
59%
60美元
74%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Silver futures (SI) command a 62% implied probability on Polymarket of closing above $30/oz by end-June, fueled primarily by robust industrial demand from solar energy and electronics sectors amid China's stimulus measures, alongside a 3% YTD weakening of the US dollar index. Spot silver hovers at $29.82/oz, up 18% this year and tracking gold's record highs above $2,400/oz, with COMEX inventories up modestly but mine supply lags from Mexico disruptions. Traders eye the June 12 CPI release and FOMC meeting, where no rate cut is consensus-priced (5% odds), as potential catalysts; hotter inflation could bolster precious metals while stronger data risks USD rebound and pullback. Historical June seasonality favors modest gains, but volatility looms near key $30 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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