Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) futures breaching the key threshold by June's end, with yes shares trading at around 65% implied probability, driven primarily by spot prices hovering near $29.80—within striking distance amid persistent industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors. Recent COMEX data shows open interest surging 12% week-over-week, signaling bullish positioning, while gold's rally above $2,350/oz provides tailwinds via historical correlation (0.85 beta). However, Fed rate cut expectations have cooled post-strong NFP, capping upside; watch June 12 CPI release and FOMC on June 18-19 for volatility triggers. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on sub-$30 resolution risk if yields rise further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,531,683 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
10%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
79%
↓ 60美元
56%
↓ $55
48%
↓ 45美元
33%
↓ $35
7%
$3,531,683 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
10%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
79%
↓ 60美元
56%
↓ $55
48%
↓ 45美元
33%
↓ $35
7%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Jan 26, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) futures breaching the key threshold by June's end, with yes shares trading at around 65% implied probability, driven primarily by spot prices hovering near $29.80—within striking distance amid persistent industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors. Recent COMEX data shows open interest surging 12% week-over-week, signaling bullish positioning, while gold's rally above $2,350/oz provides tailwinds via historical correlation (0.85 beta). However, Fed rate cut expectations have cooled post-strong NFP, capping upside; watch June 12 CPI release and FOMC on June 18-19 for volatility triggers. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on sub-$30 resolution risk if yields rise further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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