Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $30 by June 30, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid global green energy transitions, with COMEX silver spot hovering at $29.45 as of June 20. Recent catalysts include a weaker USD following softer May CPI data (3.3% YoY vs. 3.4% expected), boosting precious metals, though hawkish Fed signals from the June FOMC minutes tempered gains. Key risks: potential July rate cut delays could strengthen the dollar, capping upside; watch June 28 PCE inflation release and Shanghai silver imports data for demand confirmation. Historical precedent shows silver often rallies into summer on seasonal jewelry buying in India. Trader consensus reflects cautious optimism backed by $2M+ in open interest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2,940,382 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
3%
↑ 200美元
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
8%
↑ 130美元
18%
↑ $120
16%
↓ $65
90%
↓ 60美元
79%
↓ $55
51%
↓ 45美元
26%
↓ $35
15%
$2,940,382 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
3%
↑ 200美元
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
8%
↑ 130美元
18%
↑ $120
16%
↓ $65
90%
↓ 60美元
79%
↓ $55
51%
↓ 45美元
26%
↓ $35
15%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $30 by June 30, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid global green energy transitions, with COMEX silver spot hovering at $29.45 as of June 20. Recent catalysts include a weaker USD following softer May CPI data (3.3% YoY vs. 3.4% expected), boosting precious metals, though hawkish Fed signals from the June FOMC minutes tempered gains. Key risks: potential July rate cut delays could strengthen the dollar, capping upside; watch June 28 PCE inflation release and Shanghai silver imports data for demand confirmation. Historical precedent shows silver often rallies into summer on seasonal jewelry buying in India. Trader consensus reflects cautious optimism backed by $2M+ in open interest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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