Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for silver (SI) futures surpassing $30/oz by June 30, driven by spot prices hovering near $29.80 amid gold's rally above $2,350/oz on persistent Fed rate-cut bets following tame May CPI data. Sustained dollar weakness (DXY at 105.5) and robust industrial demand from solar and EV sectors bolster upside momentum, though COMEX positioning shows longs at multi-year highs, risking profit-taking. Key watch: June 28 PCE inflation release and July 1 Q2 GDP advance, with silver's 15% YTD gain outpacing gold amid supply tightness from Mexico and Peru mine disruptions. Historical June seasonality favors modest gains, but volatility spikes near month-end expiry.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,539,428 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
81%
↓ 60美元
56%
↓ $55
47%
↓ 45美元
25%
↓ $35
7%
$3,539,428 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
81%
↓ 60美元
56%
↓ $55
47%
↓ 45美元
25%
↓ $35
7%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for silver (SI) futures surpassing $30/oz by June 30, driven by spot prices hovering near $29.80 amid gold's rally above $2,350/oz on persistent Fed rate-cut bets following tame May CPI data. Sustained dollar weakness (DXY at 105.5) and robust industrial demand from solar and EV sectors bolster upside momentum, though COMEX positioning shows longs at multi-year highs, risking profit-taking. Key watch: June 28 PCE inflation release and July 1 Q2 GDP advance, with silver's 15% YTD gain outpacing gold amid supply tightness from Mexico and Peru mine disruptions. Historical June seasonality favors modest gains, but volatility spikes near month-end expiry.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions