Silver futures (SI) hover near $29.80/oz, with Polymarket traders pricing a 62% implied probability of hitting $30 by June 30, driven primarily by robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs offsetting persistent Fed hawkishness. Year-to-date gains exceed 18%, fueled by a weakening dollar and gold's parallel rally above $2,350/oz, though COMEX inventories remain elevated at 300Moz. Key catalysts include June 12 FOMC meeting—where dovish signals could spark a breakout—and upcoming CPI data on June 12, with trader consensus eyeing sub-3% YoY inflation to bolster rate-cut bets. Historical June seasonality favors upside, but ETF outflows and equity rotation risks cap near-term momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,541,338 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
81%
↓ 60美元
55%
↓ $55
45%
↓ 45美元
25%
↓ $35
8%
$3,541,338 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
81%
↓ 60美元
55%
↓ $55
45%
↓ 45美元
25%
↓ $35
8%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Silver futures (SI) hover near $29.80/oz, with Polymarket traders pricing a 62% implied probability of hitting $30 by June 30, driven primarily by robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs offsetting persistent Fed hawkishness. Year-to-date gains exceed 18%, fueled by a weakening dollar and gold's parallel rally above $2,350/oz, though COMEX inventories remain elevated at 300Moz. Key catalysts include June 12 FOMC meeting—where dovish signals could spark a breakout—and upcoming CPI data on June 12, with trader consensus eyeing sub-3% YoY inflation to bolster rate-cut bets. Historical June seasonality favors upside, but ETF outflows and equity rotation risks cap near-term momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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