Recent reports of SpaceX's imminent IPO filing—potentially as soon as this week—targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a 26% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive capital raise fueled by Starlink revenue growth, Starship milestones, and xAI synergies post-merger. Closely trailing bins at 19% (50-60B) and 18% (60-70B) underscore valuation skepticism, with private tender offers implying $350 billion peaks amid concerns over Musk premium sustainability, geopolitical tensions denting IPO optimism, and dilution thresholds around 3-4%. April investor briefings and a possible mid-June listing loom as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$82,628 交易量
$82,628 交易量
<40B
6%
40-50B
15%
50-60B
19%
60-70B
18%
70-80B
26%
80-90B
14%
90-100B
5%
100-110B
1%
110-120B
1%
1200億以上
2%
$82,628 交易量
$82,628 交易量
<40B
$8,496 交易量
6%
40-50B
$4,961 交易量
15%
50-60B
$15,387 交易量
19%
60-70B
$7,316 交易量
18%
70-80B
$10,779 交易量
26%
80-90B
$7,357 交易量
14%
90-100B
$7,729 交易量
5%
100-110B
$5,899 交易量
1%
110-120B
$7,631 交易量
1%
1200億以上
$7,073 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of SpaceX's imminent IPO filing—potentially as soon as this week—targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a 26% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive capital raise fueled by Starlink revenue growth, Starship milestones, and xAI synergies post-merger. Closely trailing bins at 19% (50-60B) and 18% (60-70B) underscore valuation skepticism, with private tender offers implying $350 billion peaks amid concerns over Musk premium sustainability, geopolitical tensions denting IPO optimism, and dilution thresholds around 3-4%. April investor briefings and a possible mid-June listing loom as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$82,628市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of SpaceX's imminent IPO filing—potentially as soon as this week—targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a 26% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive capital raise fueled by Starlink revenue growth, Starship milestones, and xAI synergies post-merger. Closely trailing bins at 19% (50-60B) and 18% (60-70B) underscore valuation skepticism, with private tender offers implying $350 billion peaks amid concerns over Musk premium sustainability, geopolitical tensions denting IPO optimism, and dilution thresholds around 3-4%. April investor briefings and a possible mid-June listing loom as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$82,628市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of SpaceX's imminent IPO filing—potentially as soon as this week—targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a 26% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive capital raise fueled by Starlink revenue growth, Starship milestones, and xAI synergies post-merger. Closely trailing bins at 19% (50-60B) and 18% (60-70B) underscore valuation skepticism, with private tender offers implying $350 billion peaks amid concerns over Musk premium sustainability, geopolitical tensions denting IPO optimism, and dilution thresholds around 3-4%. April investor briefings and a possible mid-June listing loom as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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