Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Seoul's March 19 high at 9°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability, as ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this outcome amid persistent cold northerly winds and cloudy skies suppressing temperatures. Historical March data shows Seoul averages 11-12°C highs, but current synoptic patterns—stagnant high-pressure ridges and low solar insolation—align with verified soundings and satellite imagery supporting the cool projection. Realistic challenges include a sudden foehn wind event or frontal breakdown accelerating warming to 10°C+, though surface observations today at 5-7°C indicate low upset risk barring model divergence in final hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 19?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 19?
9°C 100.0%
3°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
3°C或以下
否
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
3°C或以下
否
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Seoul's March 19 high at 9°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability, as ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this outcome amid persistent cold northerly winds and cloudy skies suppressing temperatures. Historical March data shows Seoul averages 11-12°C highs, but current synoptic patterns—stagnant high-pressure ridges and low solar insolation—align with verified soundings and satellite imagery supporting the cool projection. Realistic challenges include a sudden foehn wind event or frontal breakdown accelerating warming to 10°C+, though surface observations today at 5-7°C indicate low upset risk barring model divergence in final hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions