Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 9°C (31.5%) as Munich's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by the latest ECMWF and DWD-ICON ensemble forecasts clustering around 8-10°C under persistent cloud cover from an approaching Atlantic low-pressure trough. High market uncertainty, evident in the fragmented probabilities, arises from volatile spring weather dynamics: southerly winds and high-pressure ridging could elevate outcomes to 11-12°C (14.6% combined) by enhancing insolation, while northerly cold advection or convective showers might suppress readings to 7°C or below (19%). Historical late-March maxima averaging 10°C provide baseline context, with resolution hinging on 00Z model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月28日慕尼黑最高溫度?
3月28日慕尼黑最高溫度?
9°C 25%
10°C 21%
8°C 20%
7°C 14%
5°C或以下
6%
6°C
5%
7°C
14%
8°C
20%
9°C
32%
10°C
21%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C或以上
1%
9°C 25%
10°C 21%
8°C 20%
7°C 14%
5°C或以下
6%
6°C
5%
7°C
14%
8°C
20%
9°C
32%
10°C
21%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 9°C (31.5%) as Munich's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by the latest ECMWF and DWD-ICON ensemble forecasts clustering around 8-10°C under persistent cloud cover from an approaching Atlantic low-pressure trough. High market uncertainty, evident in the fragmented probabilities, arises from volatile spring weather dynamics: southerly winds and high-pressure ridging could elevate outcomes to 11-12°C (14.6% combined) by enhancing insolation, while northerly cold advection or convective showers might suppress readings to 7°C or below (19%). Historical late-March maxima averaging 10°C provide baseline context, with resolution hinging on 00Z model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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