Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, project Denver's March 27 high temperature clustering tightly around 50-55°F, driving trader consensus with over 60% implied probability across those bins. A persistent upper-level trough over the central Rockies maintains cool northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 55-60°F, while recent soundings confirm stable boundary layer conditions limiting diurnal warming. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing boosting 54-55°F odds versus lingering stratus favoring 50-51°F; model spread remains ±4°F amid uncertainty in low-level moisture. New 00z model outputs expected tonight could refine this further ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
50-51°F 22%
52-53°F 20%
54-55°F 19%
56-57°F 17%
49°F or below
15%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 22%
52-53°F 20%
54-55°F 19%
56-57°F 17%
49°F or below
15%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, project Denver's March 27 high temperature clustering tightly around 50-55°F, driving trader consensus with over 60% implied probability across those bins. A persistent upper-level trough over the central Rockies maintains cool northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 55-60°F, while recent soundings confirm stable boundary layer conditions limiting diurnal warming. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing boosting 54-55°F odds versus lingering stratus favoring 50-51°F; model spread remains ±4°F amid uncertainty in low-level moisture. New 00z model outputs expected tonight could refine this further ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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