Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project maximum temperatures of 29-31°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air masses northward, pushing highs well above the late-March climatological average of 25°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds. This warming trend, evident in recent days' highs exceeding 26°C, drives the near-tie between 29°C (27% implied probability) and 30°C (26.5%) in trader consensus, reflecting model spread where some runs cap at 29°C due to potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata, while others allow slight convective heating to nudge toward 30°C. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories and March 28 observations remain key for final adjustments before official airport readings resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
29°C 26%
30°C 24%
31°C 18%
28°C 12%
$26,543 交易量
$26,543 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
26%
30°C
24%
31°C
18%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 26%
30°C 24%
31°C 18%
28°C 12%
$26,543 交易量
$26,543 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
26%
30°C
24%
31°C
18%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project maximum temperatures of 29-31°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air masses northward, pushing highs well above the late-March climatological average of 25°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds. This warming trend, evident in recent days' highs exceeding 26°C, drives the near-tie between 29°C (27% implied probability) and 30°C (26.5%) in trader consensus, reflecting model spread where some runs cap at 29°C due to potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata, while others allow slight convective heating to nudge toward 30°C. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories and March 28 observations remain key for final adjustments before official airport readings resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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