Polymarket traders price a [XX]% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,350 by June 30, reflecting dovish Fed signals boosting rate-cut odds to 60% for September per CME FedWatch, weakening the USD index to 105. Current GC trades near $2,340, up 1.2% weekly amid persistent central bank buying—China added 4 tonnes last week—and Mideast tensions supporting safe-haven demand. Key risks include hotter-than-expected PCE inflation data on June 28, potentially capping gains if it delays cuts, while ETF inflows hit $1.1B YTD signal bullish conviction. Historical June closes average +0.8%, but volatility spikes near quarter-end repositioning could sway resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$24,071 交易量
8,000美元
2%
7,000美元
9%
$6,500
5%
$6,200
9%
6,000美元
10%
5,800美元
19%
5,600美元
23%
5,400美元
27%
5,200美元
40%
5,000美元
38%
4,800美元
45%
4,600美元
51%
$24,071 交易量
8,000美元
2%
7,000美元
9%
$6,500
5%
$6,200
9%
6,000美元
10%
5,800美元
19%
5,600美元
23%
5,400美元
27%
5,200美元
40%
5,000美元
38%
4,800美元
45%
4,600美元
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a [XX]% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,350 by June 30, reflecting dovish Fed signals boosting rate-cut odds to 60% for September per CME FedWatch, weakening the USD index to 105. Current GC trades near $2,340, up 1.2% weekly amid persistent central bank buying—China added 4 tonnes last week—and Mideast tensions supporting safe-haven demand. Key risks include hotter-than-expected PCE inflation data on June 28, potentially capping gains if it delays cuts, while ETF inflows hit $1.1B YTD signal bullish conviction. Historical June closes average +0.8%, but volatility spikes near quarter-end repositioning could sway resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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