Persistent U.S. inflation above the Fed's 2% target has anchored Polymarket trader sentiment favoring gold (GC) futures closing above the end-June threshold, with implied probabilities reflecting ~60% odds amid real-money bets. Spot gold hovers near $2,325/oz after the FOMC's June 12 hold on rates but dovish signals on potential September cuts, boosting haven demand amid Middle East tensions and central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. A softening USD (DXY at 105.2) and weak Treasury yields support upside, though strong NFP data risks capping gains. Traders eye June CPI (July 11 release) and Powell's testimony as pivotal; breaching requires sustained $2,350+ momentum into quarter-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$24,071 交易量
8,000美元
2%
7,000美元
9%
$6,500
5%
$6,200
9%
6,000美元
10%
5,800美元
19%
5,600美元
23%
5,400美元
27%
5,200美元
40%
5,000美元
38%
4,800美元
45%
4,600美元
51%
$24,071 交易量
8,000美元
2%
7,000美元
9%
$6,500
5%
$6,200
9%
6,000美元
10%
5,800美元
19%
5,600美元
23%
5,400美元
27%
5,200美元
40%
5,000美元
38%
4,800美元
45%
4,600美元
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent U.S. inflation above the Fed's 2% target has anchored Polymarket trader sentiment favoring gold (GC) futures closing above the end-June threshold, with implied probabilities reflecting ~60% odds amid real-money bets. Spot gold hovers near $2,325/oz after the FOMC's June 12 hold on rates but dovish signals on potential September cuts, boosting haven demand amid Middle East tensions and central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. A softening USD (DXY at 105.2) and weak Treasury yields support upside, though strong NFP data risks capping gains. Traders eye June CPI (July 11 release) and Powell's testimony as pivotal; breaching requires sustained $2,350+ momentum into quarter-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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