Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC) futures testing higher levels by June's end, with implied probabilities favoring prices above $2,350/oz amid expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Spot gold recently surged past $2,400/oz to record highs, propelled by persistent inflation concerns, a softening U.S. dollar index near 104, and robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key dynamics include inverse correlation with real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.1%) and safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions. Watch the June 12 FOMC meeting and May CPI release on June 12 for volatility; trader consensus prices in a 25bps cut odds at 60%, potentially catalyzing further upside if yields ease.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2,116,317 交易量
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ 6,000美元
13%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ 4,200美元
59%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ 3,400美元
8%
$2,116,317 交易量
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ 6,000美元
13%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ 4,200美元
59%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ 3,400美元
8%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC) futures testing higher levels by June's end, with implied probabilities favoring prices above $2,350/oz amid expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Spot gold recently surged past $2,400/oz to record highs, propelled by persistent inflation concerns, a softening U.S. dollar index near 104, and robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key dynamics include inverse correlation with real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.1%) and safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions. Watch the June 12 FOMC meeting and May CPI release on June 12 for volatility; trader consensus prices in a 25bps cut odds at 60%, potentially catalyzing further upside if yields ease.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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