Trader sentiment for gold futures (GC) by end of June centers on Federal Reserve rate cut odds, with markets implying a 25bps cut at the July 31 FOMC meeting after May CPI cooled to 3.3% YoY, pressuring real yields lower and boosting non-yielding gold. Spot gold holds near $2,340/oz, supported by a softer US dollar (DXY at 105.5) and central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD, per World Gold Council data. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven demand, while June's nonfarm payrolls (July 5 release) loom as a pivotal catalyst—weak data could propel prices toward $2,400. Polymarket odds aggregate real-money bets reflecting 52% probability for moderate upside.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2,078,040 交易量
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ 6,000美元
12%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ 4,200美元
62%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ 3,400美元
7%
$2,078,040 交易量
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ 6,000美元
12%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ 4,200美元
62%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ 3,400美元
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for gold futures (GC) by end of June centers on Federal Reserve rate cut odds, with markets implying a 25bps cut at the July 31 FOMC meeting after May CPI cooled to 3.3% YoY, pressuring real yields lower and boosting non-yielding gold. Spot gold holds near $2,340/oz, supported by a softer US dollar (DXY at 105.5) and central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD, per World Gold Council data. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven demand, while June's nonfarm payrolls (July 5 release) loom as a pivotal catalyst—weak data could propel prices toward $2,400. Polymarket odds aggregate real-money bets reflecting 52% probability for moderate upside.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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