Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to the 80–85 per 100,000 cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate for CDC FluSurv-NET data as of Week 12 (ending March 28, 2026), driven by the latest official Week 11 report showing a season-to-date rate of 81.6 per 100,000—the third highest since 2010–2011—amid declining weekly admission rates of 1.1 per 100,000 (FluSurv-NET) and 1.7 per 100,000 (NHSN). Influenza A(H3N2) dominates, with activity subsiding nationally as outpatient visits and positivity drop, limiting Week 12 additions to roughly 1 per 100,000. The official Week 12 FluView report, due imminently, could include revisions from reporting lags, but a significant upward shift would require an improbable surge in confirmed cases, while downward adjustments remain possible though unlikely given stable preliminary trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
80–85 100.0%
<75 <1%
75–80 <1%
85–90 <1%
$26,346 交易量
$26,346 交易量
<75
No
75–80
No
80–85
Yes
85–90
No
90–95
No
95以上
否
80–85 100.0%
<75 <1%
75–80 <1%
85–90 <1%
$26,346 交易量
$26,346 交易量
<75
No
75–80
No
80–85
Yes
85–90
No
90–95
No
95以上
否
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to the 80–85 per 100,000 cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate for CDC FluSurv-NET data as of Week 12 (ending March 28, 2026), driven by the latest official Week 11 report showing a season-to-date rate of 81.6 per 100,000—the third highest since 2010–2011—amid declining weekly admission rates of 1.1 per 100,000 (FluSurv-NET) and 1.7 per 100,000 (NHSN). Influenza A(H3N2) dominates, with activity subsiding nationally as outpatient visits and positivity drop, limiting Week 12 additions to roughly 1 per 100,000. The official Week 12 FluView report, due imminently, could include revisions from reporting lags, but a significant upward shift would require an improbable surge in confirmed cases, while downward adjustments remain possible though unlikely given stable preliminary trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions