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Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

Market icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

4月 3

4月 3

80–85 94%

85–90 3.8%

75–80 <1%

90–95 <1%

Polymarket

$13,535 交易量

80–85 94%

85–90 3.8%

75–80 <1%

90–95 <1%

Polymarket

$13,535 交易量

<75

$520 交易量

<1%

75–80

$609 交易量

<1%

80–85

$7,441 交易量

94%

85–90

$593 交易量

4%

90–95

$3,873 交易量

<1%

95以上

$500 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC FluSurv-NET data reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population as of Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026), with weekly rates dropping to 1.1–1.9 per 100,000 amid declining national flu activity. Test positivity fell to 11.5%, outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) visits reached 2.9%—below the 3.1% baseline—and NHSN/RESP-NET admissions confirm a downward trend from seasonal peaks. This trajectory implies minimal Week 12 additions (likely 1–2 per 100,000), anchoring trader consensus at 94% for the 80–85 bracket as the market-implied outcome. FluSight forecasts further national decreases, though reporting lags or an unforeseen late-season surge in A(H3N2) or B/Victoria cases could push rates toward 85+, pending the Week 12 FluView release.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$13,535
結束日期
2026-04-03
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC FluSurv-NET data reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population as of Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026), with weekly rates dropping to 1.1–1.9 per 100,000 amid declining national flu activity. Test positivity fell to 11.5%, outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) visits reached 2.9%—below the 3.1% baseline—and NHSN/RESP-NET admissions confirm a downward trend from seasonal peaks. This trajectory implies minimal Week 12 additions (likely 1–2 per 100,000), anchoring trader consensus at 94% for the 80–85 bracket as the market-implied outcome. FluSight forecasts further national decreases, though reporting lags or an unforeseen late-season surge in A(H3N2) or B/Victoria cases could push rates toward 85+, pending the Week 12 FluView release.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$13,535
結束日期
2026-04-03
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80–85" at 94%, followed by "85–90" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?" has generated $13.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?" is "80–85" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "85–90" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.