CDC FluSurv-NET data reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population as of Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026), with weekly rates dropping to 1.1–1.9 per 100,000 amid declining national flu activity. Test positivity fell to 11.5%, outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) visits reached 2.9%—below the 3.1% baseline—and NHSN/RESP-NET admissions confirm a downward trend from seasonal peaks. This trajectory implies minimal Week 12 additions (likely 1–2 per 100,000), anchoring trader consensus at 94% for the 80–85 bracket as the market-implied outcome. FluSight forecasts further national decreases, though reporting lags or an unforeseen late-season surge in A(H3N2) or B/Victoria cases could push rates toward 85+, pending the Week 12 FluView release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
80–85 94%
85–90 3.8%
75–80 <1%
90–95 <1%
$13,535 交易量
$13,535 交易量
<75
<1%
75–80
<1%
80–85
94%
85–90
4%
90–95
<1%
95以上
<1%
80–85 94%
85–90 3.8%
75–80 <1%
90–95 <1%
$13,535 交易量
$13,535 交易量
<75
<1%
75–80
<1%
80–85
94%
85–90
4%
90–95
<1%
95以上
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC FluSurv-NET data reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population as of Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026), with weekly rates dropping to 1.1–1.9 per 100,000 amid declining national flu activity. Test positivity fell to 11.5%, outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) visits reached 2.9%—below the 3.1% baseline—and NHSN/RESP-NET admissions confirm a downward trend from seasonal peaks. This trajectory implies minimal Week 12 additions (likely 1–2 per 100,000), anchoring trader consensus at 94% for the 80–85 bracket as the market-implied outcome. FluSight forecasts further national decreases, though reporting lags or an unforeseen late-season surge in A(H3N2) or B/Victoria cases could push rates toward 85+, pending the Week 12 FluView release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions