Trader sentiment on Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between modest 1.0-2.0% expansion at 32.5% and outlier 7.0%+ growth at 29.9%, driven by geopolitical shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. Recent March PMI data showed composite output barely expanding at 50.5, signaling near-stagnation, while ECB staff projections on March 19 pegged 2026 real GDP at 0.9%, down from prior estimates amid surging energy prices and inflation risks. OECD and Goldman Sachs further cut forecasts to 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, highlighting drags from higher costs and weaker demand. Key differentiators include potential war resolution boosting fiscal stimulus in Germany or persistent tensions entrenching sub-1% growth; watch Q1 GDP release in late April and ECB April meeting for resolution catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於1.0-2.0% 52%
低於0% 23.5%
5.0-6.0% 20.3%
2.0-3.0% 18%
NEW
NEW
Jan 31, 2027
低於0%
24%
0-1.0%
22%
1.0-2.0%
33%
2.0-3.0%
18%
3.0-4.0%
21%
4.0-5.0%
10%
5.0-6.0%
20%
6.0-7.0%
26%
7.0%以上
30%
1.0-2.0% 52%
低於0% 23.5%
5.0-6.0% 20.3%
2.0-3.0% 18%
NEW
NEW
Jan 31, 2027
低於0%
$0 交易量
24%
0-1.0%
$0 交易量
22%
1.0-2.0%
$0 交易量
33%
2.0-3.0%
$0 交易量
18%
3.0-4.0%
$0 交易量
21%
4.0-5.0%
$1,306 交易量
10%
5.0-6.0%
$0 交易量
20%
6.0-7.0%
$0 交易量
26%
7.0%以上
$0 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between modest 1.0-2.0% expansion at 32.5% and outlier 7.0%+ growth at 29.9%, driven by geopolitical shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. Recent March PMI data showed composite output barely expanding at 50.5, signaling near-stagnation, while ECB staff projections on March 19 pegged 2026 real GDP at 0.9%, down from prior estimates amid surging energy prices and inflation risks. OECD and Goldman Sachs further cut forecasts to 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, highlighting drags from higher costs and weaker demand. Key differentiators include potential war resolution boosting fiscal stimulus in Germany or persistent tensions entrenching sub-1% growth; watch Q1 GDP release in late April and ECB April meeting for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,306結束日期
Jan 31, 2027市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between modest 1.0-2.0% expansion at 32.5% and outlier 7.0%+ growth at 29.9%, driven by geopolitical shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. Recent March PMI data showed composite output barely expanding at 50.5, signaling near-stagnation, while ECB staff projections on March 19 pegged 2026 real GDP at 0.9%, down from prior estimates amid surging energy prices and inflation risks. OECD and Goldman Sachs further cut forecasts to 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, highlighting drags from higher costs and weaker demand. Key differentiators include potential war resolution boosting fiscal stimulus in Germany or persistent tensions entrenching sub-1% growth; watch Q1 GDP release in late April and ECB April meeting for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,306結束日期
Jan 31, 2027市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between modest 1.0-2.0% expansion at 32.5% and outlier 7.0%+ growth at 29.9%, driven by geopolitical shocks from the escalating Iran conflict. Recent March PMI data showed composite output barely expanding at 50.5, signaling near-stagnation, while ECB staff projections on March 19 pegged 2026 real GDP at 0.9%, down from prior estimates amid surging energy prices and inflation risks. OECD and Goldman Sachs further cut forecasts to 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, highlighting drags from higher costs and weaker demand. Key differentiators include potential war resolution boosting fiscal stimulus in Germany or persistent tensions entrenching sub-1% growth; watch Q1 GDP release in late April and ECB April meeting for resolution catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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