Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Crude Oil (CL) reaching key upside thresholds by June's end hinges on escalating Middle East tensions, particularly Israel-Iran risks, which have injected a 5-10% geopolitical risk premium into WTI futures now trading near $81/bbl after rebounding from $76 lows. EIA data shows US inventories up 1.2MM bbl last week against expectations, capping gains amid robust non-OPEC supply growth projected at 1.4MM bpd in 2024. Weak Chinese demand and ample global stockpiles temper bullishness, with implied probabilities around 35% for hitting $90. Watch Thursday's EIA report and potential OPEC+ compliance signals; breaching $85 resistance could signal summer driving demand kick-in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
$2,230,219 交易量
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
26%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
65%
↓ $85
91%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
49%
↓ $60
23%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,230,219 交易量
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
26%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
65%
↓ $85
91%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
49%
↓ $60
23%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Crude Oil (CL) reaching key upside thresholds by June's end hinges on escalating Middle East tensions, particularly Israel-Iran risks, which have injected a 5-10% geopolitical risk premium into WTI futures now trading near $81/bbl after rebounding from $76 lows. EIA data shows US inventories up 1.2MM bbl last week against expectations, capping gains amid robust non-OPEC supply growth projected at 1.4MM bpd in 2024. Weak Chinese demand and ample global stockpiles temper bullishness, with implied probabilities around 35% for hitting $90. Watch Thursday's EIA report and potential OPEC+ compliance signals; breaching $85 resistance could signal summer driving demand kick-in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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