Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 28% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) hitting $90 by June 30, reflecting caution amid softening demand signals and ample supply. Current front-month CL futures trade at $81.65, down 2% weekly, pressured by rising US inventories (EIA reported +3.6M barrels last week vs. -1.2M expected) and China's sluggish economic rebound curbing imports. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions offer upside, but Fed rate cut delays weigh on global growth. Key catalysts ahead: June 26 EIA storage report and OPEC+ meeting July 5; a drop below $80 support could cement bearish sentiment, while $85 resistance holds the line for bulls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
$2,260,215 交易量
↑ $200
11%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
20%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
52%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
70%
↓ $85
87%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $55
15%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,260,215 交易量
↑ $200
11%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
20%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
52%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
70%
↓ $85
87%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $55
15%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 28% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) hitting $90 by June 30, reflecting caution amid softening demand signals and ample supply. Current front-month CL futures trade at $81.65, down 2% weekly, pressured by rising US inventories (EIA reported +3.6M barrels last week vs. -1.2M expected) and China's sluggish economic rebound curbing imports. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions offer upside, but Fed rate cut delays weigh on global growth. Key catalysts ahead: June 26 EIA storage report and OPEC+ meeting July 5; a drop below $80 support could cement bearish sentiment, while $85 resistance holds the line for bulls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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