Traders on Polymarket assign a [X]% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL1) futures hitting [target price] by June 30, reflecting bearish sentiment amid surging US inventories and softening global demand. Current WTI spot trades near $77.50/bbl, down 5% in May per CME data, pressured by record US production at 13.2 million bpd (EIA) and China's economic slowdown curbing imports. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions offer upside potential, but trader consensus favors resolution below key levels. Watch EIA storage report June 5 and OPEC+ meeting June 2 for catalysts; a drawdown below 3 million bpd or extended cuts could shift odds toward yes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
$2,255,232 交易量
↑ $200
11%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
53%
↑ $105
61%
↑ $100
68%
↓ $85
90%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
16%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,255,232 交易量
↑ $200
11%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
53%
↑ $105
61%
↑ $100
68%
↓ $85
90%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
16%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders on Polymarket assign a [X]% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL1) futures hitting [target price] by June 30, reflecting bearish sentiment amid surging US inventories and softening global demand. Current WTI spot trades near $77.50/bbl, down 5% in May per CME data, pressured by record US production at 13.2 million bpd (EIA) and China's economic slowdown curbing imports. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions offer upside potential, but trader consensus favors resolution below key levels. Watch EIA storage report June 5 and OPEC+ meeting June 2 for catalysts; a drawdown below 3 million bpd or extended cuts could shift odds toward yes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions