Market icon
經濟艙·獎勵10、4.5、50

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Market icon
經濟艙·獎勵10、4.5、50

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Apr 14

Apr 14

3.1–3.3% 67%

2.8–3.0% 19%

3.4–3.6% 9.0%

2.5–2.7% 7%

Polymarket

$11,915 交易量

3.1–3.3% 67%

2.8–3.0% 19%

3.4–3.6% 9.0%

2.5–2.7% 7%

Polymarket

$11,915 交易量

≤2.1%

$1,152 交易量

1%

2.2–2.4%

$771 交易量

3%

2.5–2.7%

$1,086 交易量

7%

2.8–3.0%

$1,307 交易量

19%

3.1–3.3%

$3,375 交易量

67%

3.4–3.6%

$1,381 交易量

9%

3.7%+

$2,843 交易量

2%

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, closely tracking economist forecasts from JPMorgan and others around 3.2%, amid President Milei's disinflationary reforms. February's 13.9% print extended the sharp slowdown from January's 20.6%, fueled by fiscal austerity delivering the government's first primary budget surplus in over a decade, subsidy rationalization, and a stable crawling peg exchange rate curbing imported inflation. Lower bins reflect optimism for policy continuity, while upside risks from food price volatility due to drought remain subdued at 11.4% combined. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, will resolve the market, with traders monitoring for confirmation of the trajectory toward single-digit monthly rates.

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.

Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$11,915
結束日期
Apr 14, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

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This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, closely tracking economist forecasts from JPMorgan and others around 3.2%, amid President Milei's disinflationary reforms. February's 13.9% print extended the sharp slowdown from January's 20.6%, fueled by fiscal austerity delivering the government's first primary budget surplus in over a decade, subsidy rationalization, and a stable crawling peg exchange rate curbing imported inflation. Lower bins reflect optimism for policy continuity, while upside risks from food price volatility due to drought remain subdued at 11.4% combined. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, will resolve the market, with traders monitoring for confirmation of the trajectory toward single-digit monthly rates.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly inflation falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, closely tracking economist forecasts from JPMorgan and others around 3.2%, amid President Milei's disinflationary reforms. February's 13.9% print extended the sharp slowdown from January's 20.6%, fueled by fiscal austerity delivering the government's first primary budget surplus in over a decade, subsidy rationalization, and a stable crawling peg exchange rate curbing imported inflation. Lower bins reflect optimism for policy continuity, while upside risks from food price volatility due to drought remain subdued at 11.4% combined. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, will resolve the market, with traders monitoring for confirmation of the trajectory toward single-digit monthly rates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Argentina Monthly Inflation - March" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3.1–3.3%" at 67%, followed by "2.8–3.0%" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Argentina Monthly Inflation - March" has generated $11.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Argentina Monthly Inflation - March," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Argentina Monthly Inflation - March" is "3.1–3.3%" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2.8–3.0%" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Argentina Monthly Inflation - March" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.