Trader sentiment crowns Anthropic's Claude app as the overwhelming favorite at 62.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, propelled by its fresh iOS launch in early March and viral adoption amid intensifying AI chatbot competition. ChatGPT holds steady at 22.5% on OpenAI's massive existing user base and frequent updates boosting engagement. Sports apps like CBS Sports (21.3%) and NCAA March Madness Live (3.5%) gain traction from the tournament's Sweet 16 hype that weekend, while Freecash (20.6%) rides payout app momentum. Recent Claude download spikes and March Madness viewership records underpin these odds, though App Store volatility from viral trends keeps resolution uncertain.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Claude by Anthropic 63%
ChatGPT 23%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 21.0%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 20.6%

Claude by Anthropic
63%

ChatGPT
23%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
21%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
21%

NCAA March Madness Live
4%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
4%

Google Gemini
3%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%
Claude by Anthropic 63%
ChatGPT 23%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 21.0%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 20.6%

Claude by Anthropic
63%

ChatGPT
23%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
21%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
21%

NCAA March Madness Live
4%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
4%

Google Gemini
3%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment crowns Anthropic's Claude app as the overwhelming favorite at 62.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, propelled by its fresh iOS launch in early March and viral adoption amid intensifying AI chatbot competition. ChatGPT holds steady at 22.5% on OpenAI's massive existing user base and frequent updates boosting engagement. Sports apps like CBS Sports (21.3%) and NCAA March Madness Live (3.5%) gain traction from the tournament's Sweet 16 hype that weekend, while Freecash (20.6%) rides payout app momentum. Recent Claude download spikes and March Madness viewership records underpin these odds, though App Store volatility from viral trends keeps resolution uncertain.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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