ChatGPT's commanding 91% implied probability as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 24 reflects its sustained chart dominance, fueled by viral adoption of advanced multimodal features like real-time voice conversations and image analysis in recent iOS updates. Trader consensus has solidified amid OpenAI's aggressive mobile push, outpacing rivals despite peak NCAA March Madness viewership boosting CBS Sports (3.4%) and ESPN apps. Historical App Store data shows AI apps like ChatGPT maintaining momentum through network effects, but a dramatic tournament upset or Temu's discount frenzy could challenge if download spikes exceed 20-30% daily averages observed last week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
ChatGPT 91%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 3.4%
Google Gemini 2.2%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 2.1%
$13,487 交易量
$13,487 交易量

ChatGPT
91%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
3%

Google Gemini
2%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
2%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
1%

Claude by Anthropic
<1%

NCAA March Madness Live
<1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
<1%
ChatGPT 91%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 3.4%
Google Gemini 2.2%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 2.1%
$13,487 交易量
$13,487 交易量

ChatGPT
91%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
3%

Google Gemini
2%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
2%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
1%

Claude by Anthropic
<1%

NCAA March Madness Live
<1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT's commanding 91% implied probability as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 24 reflects its sustained chart dominance, fueled by viral adoption of advanced multimodal features like real-time voice conversations and image analysis in recent iOS updates. Trader consensus has solidified amid OpenAI's aggressive mobile push, outpacing rivals despite peak NCAA March Madness viewership boosting CBS Sports (3.4%) and ESPN apps. Historical App Store data shows AI apps like ChatGPT maintaining momentum through network effects, but a dramatic tournament upset or Temu's discount frenzy could challenge if download spikes exceed 20-30% daily averages observed last week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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