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icon for Fed rate cut by...?
Tiết Kiệm·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

icon for Fed rate cut by...?
Tiết Kiệm·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1,573,277 KL.

Jul 30, 2025
Polymarket

$1,573,277 KL.

Polymarket

July meeting

$59,119 KL.

No

September meeting

$927,036 KL.

Yes

October meeting

$240,855 KL.

Yes

December meeting

$346,266 KL.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2025, currently scheduled for September 16–17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by September 24 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2025, currently scheduled for October 28–29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by November 5 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2025, currently scheduled for December 9–10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by December 17 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,573,277
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 10, 2025
Thị trường mở
Jul 15, 2025, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2025, currently scheduled for September 16–17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by September 24 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2025, currently scheduled for October 28–29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by November 5 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2025, currently scheduled for December 9–10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by December 17 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,573,277
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 10, 2025
Thị trường mở
Jul 15, 2025, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Fed rate cut by...?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 4 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "September meeting" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "October meeting" ở mức 100%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Fed rate cut by...?" đã tạo $1.6 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jul 15, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Fed rate cut by...?," duyệt 4 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Fed rate cut by...?" là "September meeting" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "October meeting" ở mức 100%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Fed rate cut by...?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.