Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
3 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$78,848 KL.
$78,848 KL.
Jul 29, 2026
0
No
1
No
2
No
3
Yes
4+
No
3 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$78,848 KL.
$78,848 KL.
Jul 29, 2026
0
$52,207 KL.
No
1
$4,724 KL.
No
2
$8,354 KL.
No
3
$8,416 KL.
Yes
4+
$5,146 KL.
No
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$78,848Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$78,848Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp