French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for no-confidence votes against the president—only the government faces such risks in the hung parliament resulting from 2024 snap legislative elections. Recent stability stems from the government's survival of two no-confidence motions in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3 in February, averting shutdown threats amid fiscal pressures. March 22 municipal elections saw left-wing alliances retain Paris, Lyon, and Marseille, providing a muted test ahead of 2027 presidential balloting without sparking fresh crisis. Absent scandals or economic shocks, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early resignation or dissolution, though succession jockeying among centrists intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,928,808 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
30 червня 2026 року
2%
$1,928,808 Обс.
30 червня 2026 року
$336,964 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for no-confidence votes against the president—only the government faces such risks in the hung parliament resulting from 2024 snap legislative elections. Recent stability stems from the government's survival of two no-confidence motions in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3 in February, averting shutdown threats amid fiscal pressures. March 22 municipal elections saw left-wing alliances retain Paris, Lyon, and Marseille, providing a muted test ahead of 2027 presidential balloting without sparking fresh crisis. Absent scandals or economic shocks, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early resignation or dissolution, though succession jockeying among centrists intensifies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,928,808Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for no-confidence votes against the president—only the government faces such risks in the hung parliament resulting from 2024 snap legislative elections. Recent stability stems from the government's survival of two no-confidence motions in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3 in February, averting shutdown threats amid fiscal pressures. March 22 municipal elections saw left-wing alliances retain Paris, Lyon, and Marseille, providing a muted test ahead of 2027 presidential balloting without sparking fresh crisis. Absent scandals or economic shocks, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early resignation or dissolution, though succession jockeying among centrists intensifies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,928,808Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for no-confidence votes against the president—only the government faces such risks in the hung parliament resulting from 2024 snap legislative elections. Recent stability stems from the government's survival of two no-confidence motions in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3 in February, averting shutdown threats amid fiscal pressures. March 22 municipal elections saw left-wing alliances retain Paris, Lyon, and Marseille, providing a muted test ahead of 2027 presidential balloting without sparking fresh crisis. Absent scandals or economic shocks, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early resignation or dissolution, though succession jockeying among centrists intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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