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icon for Макрон вийшов на...?
Політика·Франція

Макрон вийшов на...?

icon for Макрон вийшов на...?
Політика·Франція

Макрон вийшов на...?

$2,155,960 Обс.

Jan 2, 2027
Polymarket

$2,155,960 Обс.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$27,089 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second presidential term ends in May 2027, after which he is constitutionally barred from seeking a third consecutive mandate, setting the baseline timeline for any “out by” resolution. France has experienced prolonged parliamentary gridlock since the 2024 snap elections, producing repeated prime ministerial changes and repeated no-confidence threats that have limited legislative action on budgets and reforms. Macron’s approval ratings have remained near historic lows, hovering in the mid-teens to mid-20s percent favorable range amid fiscal pressures and public discontent. Recent weeks have seen him convene cross-party briefings on energy prices, Russian hybrid threats, and Middle East developments, while the government advances a large 2027 spending squeeze. The presidential election is scheduled for April 18 and May 2, 2027, with leading contenders already positioning themselves and no verified signals of an earlier resignation or removal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$2,155,960
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second presidential term ends in May 2027, after which he is constitutionally barred from seeking a third consecutive mandate, setting the baseline timeline for any “out by” resolution. France has experienced prolonged parliamentary gridlock since the 2024 snap elections, producing repeated prime ministerial changes and repeated no-confidence threats that have limited legislative action on budgets and reforms. Macron’s approval ratings have remained near historic lows, hovering in the mid-teens to mid-20s percent favorable range amid fiscal pressures and public discontent. Recent weeks have seen him convene cross-party briefings on energy prices, Russian hybrid threats, and Middle East developments, while the government advances a large 2027 spending squeeze. The presidential election is scheduled for April 18 and May 2, 2027, with leading contenders already positioning themselves and no verified signals of an earlier resignation or removal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$2,155,960
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

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Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%
icon for French election called by December 31, 2026?

French election called by December 31, 2026?

8%
icon for Трамп залишить посаду президента до 2027 року?

Трамп залишить посаду президента до 2027 року?

6%
Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Макрон вийшов на...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31, 2026» з 4%, далі «July 31, 2026» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Макрон вийшов на...?» згенерував $2.2 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 3, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Макрон вийшов на...?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Макрон вийшов на...?» — «December 31, 2026» лише з 4%, а «July 31, 2026» — близько позаду з 0%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Макрон вийшов на...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.