France's National Assembly remains hung following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution, leaving Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to manage a minority government that has repeatedly invoked Article 49.3 to pass budgets amid no-confidence threats from France Unbowed and National Rally. No major parliamentary shifts have occurred in the past month, though March municipal elections revealed National Rally gains in new municipalities while centrist and left alliances showed fragmentation. Macron retains constitutional authority to dissolve the assembly until his term ends in 2027, with potential triggers including upcoming fiscal negotiations or coalition breakdowns ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Traders focus on these legislative risks and any signals from the Élysée regarding early elections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,060,640 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
30 червня 2026
2%
$1,060,640 Обс.
30 червня 2026
$79,007 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's National Assembly remains hung following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution, leaving Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to manage a minority government that has repeatedly invoked Article 49.3 to pass budgets amid no-confidence threats from France Unbowed and National Rally. No major parliamentary shifts have occurred in the past month, though March municipal elections revealed National Rally gains in new municipalities while centrist and left alliances showed fragmentation. Macron retains constitutional authority to dissolve the assembly until his term ends in 2027, with potential triggers including upcoming fiscal negotiations or coalition breakdowns ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Traders focus on these legislative risks and any signals from the Élysée regarding early elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,060,640Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's National Assembly remains hung following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution, leaving Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to manage a minority government that has repeatedly invoked Article 49.3 to pass budgets amid no-confidence threats from France Unbowed and National Rally. No major parliamentary shifts have occurred in the past month, though March municipal elections revealed National Rally gains in new municipalities while centrist and left alliances showed fragmentation. Macron retains constitutional authority to dissolve the assembly until his term ends in 2027, with potential triggers including upcoming fiscal negotiations or coalition breakdowns ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Traders focus on these legislative risks and any signals from the Élysée regarding early elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,060,640Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's National Assembly remains hung following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution, leaving Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to manage a minority government that has repeatedly invoked Article 49.3 to pass budgets amid no-confidence threats from France Unbowed and National Rally. No major parliamentary shifts have occurred in the past month, though March municipal elections revealed National Rally gains in new municipalities while centrist and left alliances showed fragmentation. Macron retains constitutional authority to dissolve the assembly until his term ends in 2027, with potential triggers including upcoming fiscal negotiations or coalition breakdowns ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Traders focus on these legislative risks and any signals from the Élysée regarding early elections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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