The Federal Reserve’s statutory independence under the Federal Reserve Act, reinforced by decades of congressional deference and the absence of any legislative proposals to dissolve the central bank, underpins the 96.5% market-implied probability that it will not be abolished before 2027. Traders price in continuity because the Fed’s dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability remains embedded in ongoing monetary-policy operations, with the FOMC continuing to set the federal-funds rate amid stable inflation and labor-market data. While tail risks such as an unprecedented constitutional crisis or sweeping congressional overhaul could theoretically intervene, no credible political or economic developments point to such an outcome within the timeframe, leaving the near-certain consensus intact.