The Federal Reserve's institutional role in setting monetary policy and overseeing the banking system creates formidable structural barriers to abolition, which would require congressional legislation, presidential approval, and likely broad bipartisan support that has not materialized. No major bills, executive orders, or confirmation hearings have advanced any such proposal in recent months, consistent with historical patterns where the central bank has endured across administrations despite periodic criticism. Traders' 98.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched stability and the absence of viable legislative pathways before 2027. Even in a divided Congress, procedural hurdles like filibusters or appropriations fights would likely block rapid action. Late-breaking shifts could stem from an unprecedented financial crisis prompting emergency reforms or a unified government prioritizing radical restructuring, though such outcomes remain low-probability within the timeframe.